EN LIGNE DE MIRE

Poutine-president_Patrick Chapatte

La grande imposture russe

Françoise Thom
Les propagandistes russes accusent l’Europe d’avoir perdu ses valeurs et prétendent que la Russie en est désormais la dépositaire. Ce discours trouve un écho chez certains conservateurs. Dans cet essai, Françoise Thom se penche sur [...]

Guerre en Ukraine

Britta Sandberg, Cheffe du bureau de Paris du Spiegel -Photo ©
Ukraine

Et si Macron avait raison ?

La petite phrase d’Emmanuel Macron suggérant aux Européens de ne pas écarter l’idée de mettre des troupes au sol en Ukraine a fait couler beaucoup d’encre et n’a laissé aucun pays allié indifférent. Il n’a pas fallu longtemps pour constater que cette unanimité dans la condamnation se transforme en un soutien discret, de quoi irriter Vladimir Poutine… Il aura suffi d’une semaine pour constater qu’il n’y avait pas que les Baltes, les Tchèques ou les Polonais, pour penser que la gravité de la menace d’une défaite de l’Ukraine méritait bien que l’on se pose sérieusement certaines questions. Dans les pays du Nord égale-ment, l’idée a rapidement trouvé une résonnance comme cela a été le cas aux Pays-Bas. La publication ce jour d’une analyse de Britta Sandberg dans le Spiegel, le plus grand des magazines allemands, a été accueillie avec un soulagement et une surprise mal dissimulés. Nous reproduisons ici cet article avec l’autorisation de son auteure. […]

Mission Lynx en Estonie - Photo EMA
Ukraine

« Les États européens ont les moyens de résister à la pression russe »

il est inéluctable que la situation s’aggrave dange-reusement aux frontières de l’Union européenne et de l’OTAN… Si Poutine pouvait l’emporter sans guerre frontale, en visant les lignes de moindre résistance de l’Occident et en s’appuyant sur les forces internes de dislocation qu’il contrôle, il ne s’en priverait pas. Rappelons que ce n’est pas l’envahisseur d’un pays qui déclenche la guerre, mais la résistance armée du pays visé par l’agression. Dans De la guerre, Clausewitz mentionnait cette vérité, ce qui avait beaucoup amusé Marx et Engels (ils ont annoté l’exemplaire consulté). En d’autres termes, si vous voulez éviter la guerre, la chose est simple : « Soumettez-vous ». Cette petite musique s’entend déjà derrière les appels à la « désescalade ». Mais qui donc pratique l’escalade sinon Poutine et les hommes qui dirigent la Russie-Eurasie ? […]

Amiral Christian Girard
Ukraine

Ukraine : rupture ou continuité ?

Un fort sentiment d’inquiétude commence à se manifester face à la guerre d’Ukraine parmi les dirigeants français et européens, mais également au niveau de l’opinion publique. Ce sentiment est sans doute à l’origine du quasi retournement des positions affi-chées par le président de la République en France… 
Nous appelions, il y a quelques mois déjà, à la définition d’une stratégie des pays occidentaux face à la Russie, complète et unifiée, qui irait au-delà du simple objectif de l’empêcher de gagner, pour s’accorder sur des objectifs positifs, collectivement approuvés, dont le but serait de briser l’agres-sion russe, sur le plan des moyens, mais également, et plus fondamentalement, sur celui de la volonté d’agression, objectif plus difficile à atteindre, mais sans lequel l’arrêt de l’action militaire ne peut être qu’un état provisoire, donc précaire. […]

LES DERNIÈRES CHRONIQUES

2024-0710_Splitting-unity
Infoguerre

Seeking Rifts and Launching Missiles

The Kremlin knows even its most brutal tactics will not work against Ukraine if EU and NATO support continues. It continues trying to undermine the unity of these organisations and drive a wedge between them and Ukraine. The Kremlin also knows that even its most vicious intimidation tactics, like launching a cruise missile against a children’s hospital, will not break Ukrainian resistance as long as EU and NATO support continues. For that reason, a core goal of disinformation campaigns is to exploit any real or imaginary crack in the unity of EU and NATO members to weaken these organisations… A cynic might think the bombings on 8 July could have had something to do with the NATO summit on 9-11 July, perhaps to send some kind of sick message. […]

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Infoguerre

Tainting the New Dawn

The pro-Kremlin disinformation ecosystem kicked into a higher gear to smear the newly appointed EU leadership, particularly honing in on HRVP-to-be Kaja Kallas. Meanwhile, others spun the French snap elections into doomsday stories about the EU and, of course, blamed Ukraine for it all. Last week, quite a few pivotal moments took place in the European political landscape. The European Council nominated a new EU political leadership for the next five years while France held a heated first round of snap parliamentary elections. None of these events went unnoticed by the pro-Kremlin disinformation ecosystem. It readily kicked into a higher gear to smear the new EU political leadership, peddle disinformation, and refurbish old conspiracy theories. […]

Dr. Olena Snigyr
Infoguerre

The Kremlin Mobilises the Church for War… for Africa

The Kremlin uses the Russian Orthodox Church to spread disinformation, weaponize historical memory and conjure the perception of protecting ‘traditional values’ across Africa. In its confrontation with the West, Russia seeks allies among the countries of the Global South, particularly in Africa. Recently, the Russian Orthodox Church (ROC) has become involved in this effort. On 29 December 2021, the ROC decided to establish its own exarchate in Africa, encompas-sing all African countries. Its activity is already noticeable in almost 30 African countries and its declared ambitions are to expand its influence throughout the whole continent. By Dr. Olena Snigyr, chief consultant in the Research Center for Russian Federation Problems at the Ukrainian National Institute for Strategic Studies (NISS) […]

Alicia Wanless_Aspen Digital - John Cassidy The Headshot Guy® Photo
Infoguerre

“Disinformation is one problem among many in the information environment”

Expert Alicia Wanless explains the terms “information environment” and “information ecology” and how these concepts can inform a whole of society approach to strategically foster democracy. « The information environment is the space where people process information to make sense of the world. To do this, humans develop tools from alphabets to artificial intelligence to transform information into artefacts that can be shared from the spoken word to videos, and whatever comes along in the future. The information environment consists of people, the means for processing information, the outputs created with those means, as well as the interrelation-ships between these three things, which are all shaped by conditions.» […]

Timbre à l'effigie d'Andreï Jdanov

Pourquoi Poutine choisit le chaos

La dernière analyse de Françoise Thom diffusée sur DeskRussie a connu un certain retentissement, tout comme « le deuxième front : comment la Russie veut saper le soutien occidental à l’Ukraine ». A qui profite [...]

Dans l’actualité

Zelinsky_US-Congress_Patrick Chapatte
Françoise Thom

Let Us Not Falter at the Last Minute

The Russian economy, including its military-industrial complex, is showing signs of exhaustion. Prices are soaring, electronic components are in short supply and the labour shortage is becoming dramatic. Migrants from Central Asia often meet with a hostile reception and can hardly replace the tens of thousands of specialists who have left Russia. Is it for these reasons that Putin’s regime is trying to stop the war against Ukraine, but on its own terms, as Viktor Orbán’s initiative shows? According to Françoise Thom, it would be unfortunate if the West were to give in to pressure from the ‘peacemakers’, when the Moscow autocracy is itself at the end of its tether…
Demosthenes, undoubtedly the greatest orator of Antiquity with his Philippics, is still surprisingly relevant today. It should inspire us all. […]

francoise thom 3b2
Françoise Thom

Ne flanchons pas au dernier moment

L’économie russe, y compris son complexe militaro-industriel, montre des signes d’épuisement. Les prix flambent, les composants électroniques manquent et le manque de main d’œuvre devient dramatique. Les migrants d’Asie Centrale rencontrent un accueil souvent hostile et peuvent difficilement remplacer les dizaines de milliers de spécialistes qui ont quitté la Russie. Est-ce pour ces raisons que le régime de Poutine essaie d’obtenir l’arrêt de la guerre contre l’Ukraine, mais à ses conditions, comme en témoigne l’initiative de Viktor Orbán ? Selon Françoise Thom, il serait fâcheux que les Occidentaux cèdent aux pressions des « pacificateurs », alors que l’autocratie moscovite est elle-même au bout du rouleau. La lecture de Démosthène, qui fut sans aucun doute le plus grand orateur de l’Antiquité avec ses Philip-piques, est aujourd’hui encore d’une étonnante actualité. Elle devrait donc nous inspirer. […]

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Infoguerre

Paint It Black – Pro-Kremlin Take on the NATO Summit

The recent NATO summit is portrayed as a failure and Washington the master of evil – if you follow pro-Kremlin sources. During this Summit, this ‘negative’ dynamic was much at work. Russian state and pro-Kremlin outlets took the most common-sense impressions and neatly reversed them all to create a nightmarish fantasy with the following disinformation narratives. In this reality-reversal, Western countries are apparently exploiting Ukraine. How? By treating Ukraine as a battleground that they use to attack Russia. A recent example alleged as much. Note the neat inversion of cause and effect, or white colours with dark colours. By helping Ukrainians defend themselves, NATO is ensuring that more Ukrainians die, right? Except NATO isn’t killing Ukrainians. Russia is. Replace ‘NATO’ with ‘Russia’, and you have a more accurate picture of the war in Ukraine. […]

DR_2024-0715_Lavrov_Restless souls
Infoguerre

The Remorseless

Lavrov and pro-Kremlin propagandists continue their macabre dance on the graves of innocents, revealing once again the true, cruel nature of Putin’s regime. The more monstrous the crime, the less appetite the Kremlin and its henchmen show for remorse. Instead, they continue their macabre dance on the graves of those whom the Russian war machine has killed in cold blood. In his latest iteration of Bucha massacre denials, despite all the evidence, such as this recent heartbreaking Babel investigation, Lavrov conti-nued uttering the lies, deceit, and denials that we have come far too familiar with – as evidenced by 167 cases in our database on Bucha alone. While the Kremlin continues its heartless disinformation campaign about its past atrocities, it simultaneously exploits current events to further its agenda, as was well-exemplified by their coverage of the attempted assassination of former US President Trump. […]

DR_2024-0716_Flight-MH17_Cover
Infoguerre

MH17: Ten Years of Russian Lying and Denying

July 17 marks the 10-year commemoration of the dramatic event in which Russia fired a BUK 9M83 surface-to-air missile from the temporarily occupied territories in Ukraine to shoot down Malaysia Airlines flight MH17, killing all 298 civilians on board. The Netherlands and Australia have established(opens in a new tab) that Russia is responsible for the deployment of the Buk launcher that brought down flight MH17 and that this act constituted a violation of international law. Since that day, pro-Kremlin disinformation outlets have spread dozens of different disinformation narratives to distract from the fact that Russian authorities are responsible for these murders. The EU Member States have stated unequivocally(opens in a new tab) – no Russian disinformation operation can distract from these basic facts, established by a court of law. […]

2024-0710_Splitting-unity
Infoguerre

Seeking Rifts and Launching Missiles

The Kremlin knows even its most brutal tactics will not work against Ukraine if EU and NATO support continues. It continues trying to undermine the unity of these organisations and drive a wedge between them and Ukraine. The Kremlin also knows that even its most vicious intimidation tactics, like launching a cruise missile against a children’s hospital, will not break Ukrainian resistance as long as EU and NATO support continues. For that reason, a core goal of disinformation campaigns is to exploit any real or imaginary crack in the unity of EU and NATO members to weaken these organisations… A cynic might think the bombings on 8 July could have had something to do with the NATO summit on 9-11 July, perhaps to send some kind of sick message. […]